AI Superintelligence: Why the Doomsday Predictions Fall Short

Some commenters object to my breezy dismissal of , the (insane, in my opinion) predictions of 10 percent human extinction or 100 percent over a short time frame.

Now, I grant that AI can create powerful technologies and that the legacy of “technical debt” — poorly designed software on which our grid, military, financial system, and governments rely — is a serious issue. I tend to think AI and the massive compute power needed to run it favors the security side rather than the hackers. But I accept that AI-powered systems run a risk along the same lines as other major industrial accidents.

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Michael Brendan Dougherty

Michael Brendan Dougherty is a senior writer at National Review Online.

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Some commenters object to my breezy dismissal of , the (insane, in my opinion) predictions of 10 percent human extinction or 100 percent over a short time frame.

Now, I grant that AI can create powerful technologies and that the legacy of “technical debt” — poorly designed software on which our grid, military, financial system, and governments rely — is a serious issue. I tend to think AI and the massive compute power needed to run it favors the security side rather than the hackers. But I accept that AI-powered systems run a risk along the same lines as other major industrial accidents.