That’s the title of my new Confirmation Tales post. Here’s a passage from its opening:

In four elections in the past 40 years—two when a Republican was president, two when a Democrat was—a president’s political party has lost control of the Senate in the midterms: , 1994, 2006, and . Each loss was significant for the president’s in the last two years of his term, but 1986 and 2014 were far more consequential than the other two. Let’s take a look at those four losses and then address what is at stake for the next two years.

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